Category Archives: sensitivity

Uncertainty and Conservatism

In a comment by Onar Aam on RC, it is alleged that proposed policy responses to anthropogenic climate change are excessive because scientific uncertainty leaves open the possibility that the sensitivity of the system is much smaller than the consensus would have it. This argument is common enough. For almost fifteen years now I have…

Annan vs Hegerl goes Nuclear in a Hurry

Strange day. I just returned from a day that included a talk by Gabrielle Hegerl to discover that James Annan has a poster criticizing an aspect of her work. In fact, the point that James makes, was, in essence, covered in her talk. She said the data alone was insufficient to remove the long tail,…